Right Size your Financial Life - Planning
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Good judgment comes from experience...experience comes from bad judgment.
We have provided a simple case study to highlight the value of pursuing a financial plan with a
solid process. The results are summarized below:
A young couple with two children each have good potential in their mid level jobs. They thought they could
invest 60% in stocks for retirement and the rest would take care of itself. A simplistic financial plan would
indicate all systems are a go for this approach. Unfortunately, stocks performed exactly as they have for long
periods of time, rising quickly for 15-20 years (1982-1999) and then smoldering for the next 15-20 years (1966-1981
or 2000-present), and as such they were caught in a panic right before retirement. They accepted a substantially
impaired lifestyle.
Alternatively, if they had planned properly, they would have avoided risking so much in stocks and instead
invested mainly in inflation protected bonds to insulate them from these swings. They then also looked deeper into
their situation to find improvements in how they used IRAs (switching from regular to Roth), when they begin taking
social security and they decided to live in a very nice apartment in retirement rather than labor over an expensive
house. They were able to maintain the same lifestyle they hoped for with their original 60/40 stocks/bonds
investment strategy.
They also began to understand their world and how to navigate better in real time. They did not need to worry so
much about investments with their new plan, but if their wage growth slowed it would impact their long run ability
to consume a bit more than they originally thought. Also, inflation tends to come with many problems, such as lower
real wage growth and some weaknesses in real investment returns, so they learned about the impact of several
coincident threats. They might wonder about owning a house in the event of a plunge in home prices, but they could
see how important the impact of home ownership with a fixed rate mortgage was in securing their housing costs in an
inflationary environment. They learned how to determine the fundamental value real estate to avoid getting caught
in the next bubble. They understood the important issues they faced and how sensitive their circumstances were to
potential changes. They knew how to take appropriate actions to protect themselves so they could sleep better at
night. Understanding their world helped prevent panicky decisions, which also tend to result in the most serious of
mistakes.
But the actual planning process does not stop with the numbers. They needed to make decisions about lifestyle,
working, and how they consume as well. Finances can affect decisions, but it is not the only factor. Suppose one
wanted to take time out of working to raise the children, or family health history left them more concerned than
usual. What is important in life and why? These questions need to be addressed in conjunction with the financial
analysis of alternatives, and the methodologies developed through martial arts training can address these
questions.
This case highlights the importance of knowing how to plan for yourself. Or if you choose to hire a planner, you
need to know the questions you should be asking and the answers you should be expecting. With confidence you can
then go on to address the major concerns of your lives.
Legal - The purpose of this site and all services offered are educational in nature and not to
provide any investment advice, planning or recommendations of any securities. The purpose is to educate you to make
your own financial decisions, or prepare you to evaluate your financial advisors with confidence so you can gain
trust in the services they provide.
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